Wednesday, April 30, 2008

Airline fuel bets

I have been wondering about another recent 'free market' phenomenon. We see airlines going out of business due to fuel prices. Airlines use futures to try to hedge agains changes in the price of fuel. But it has become a large and dangerous game.

Rumor has it that Southwest Airlines gets their jet fuel at prices reflecting the equivalent of $50 a barrel oil due to shrewd (or lucky) futures purchases. Other airlines were not so fortunate. These financial instruments were originally used to protect against risk, now they seem to force huge gambles. Airlines that bet the right way on fuel prices win, the ones that bet the wrong way quickly go out of business. And it is a bet, and you are forced to play (no bet is still a bet).

This is the effect of a 'free market' as it is defined today by Wall Street. But is this efficient? Or good? Should massive industries be forced to make these kinds of bets on a continuing basis? In parallel I'll note that there was a similar effect in sub-prime mortgages, though more voluntary. People won and lost billions on similar bets. Have derivatives made Wall Street less of a bank that makes investments and more of a casino that makes bets? If so, should they be taxes and regulated like casinos?

Tuesday, April 15, 2008

Japanese Pay Less for More Health Care

An NPR audio (6 minutes) on how Japan delivers perhaps the best healthcare in the world at approximately half the cost of the US: Japanese Pay Less for More Health Care

Memo to Petraeus & Crocker: More Laughs, Please

Dick Cavett, the 1960s talk show host, has been writing a pretty good blog on the New York Times web site. Today he takes on the mil-speak of General Petraeus: Memo to Petraeus & Crocker: More Laughs, Please

Monday, April 14, 2008

Subprime Shock Doctrine

Is the 'subprime' crisis another 'Shock Doctrine' event? It seem the hedge fund guys who brought you this mess are now buying up the distressed properties in the aftermath: Taking The Credit Crunch Private

Thursday, April 10, 2008

Our Confusing Economy, Explained

A good audio program from NPR that explains the current 'subprime crisis': Our Confusing Economy, Explained